The American First Energy Plan states, “.......We must take advantage of the estimated $50 trillion in untapped shale, oil, and natural gas reserves, especially those on federal lands that the American people own. Lifting these restrictions will greatly help American workers, increasing wages by more than $30 billion over the next 7 years…….A brighter future depends on energy policies that stimulate our economy, ensure our security, and protect our health” [1].
America First Foreign Policy avows, “……. Peace through strength will be at the center of that foreign policy…….Defeating ISIS and other radical Islamic terror groups will be our highest priority. To defeat and destroy these groups, we will pursue aggressive joint and coalition military operations when necessary…….By fighting for fair but tough trade deals, we can bring jobs back to America’s shores, increase wages, and support U.S. manufacturing” [2].
Climate change driven renewable energy, intelligent utilities, smart grid, and wise wires’ initiatives to decarbonize power, energy, transport and building sectors face extinction threat with Trump’s victory. Climate change, super smart grid and broadband networks were Lexus Nexus yesterday, are a Frontline today and will be history tomorrow [3]. Were we on a wrong track yesterday or outright detracted toady? Let us analyze the current scenario in the light of science and business.
Energy, terrorism, population and climate change are hyped as complex problems requiring expensive solutions. Smart grid is touted as holy-grail against climate change and biometric devices as silent sentinels. Climate change may be an issue, but zillion dollar smart grid, biometric, IT and GMO enterprises have absolutely nothing to do with science of environment. Climate change driven, smart grid and security coerced biometric devices are pure business.
According to Navigant Research reports the business of smart meters, Electric vehicles, Internet of things, Zero Energy Buildings are $8.5 billion, $32 billion, $30 billion and $100 billion today, which are likely to rise to $10.5 billion, $62 billion, $125 billion, $62 billion and $800 billion by 2025. According to Information Management and Global Research reports the biometric devices, GM victuals and smart IT contrivances had a market revenue of $10 billion, $850 billion and $3,800 billion two years ago, which are likely to grow to $15 billion, $1300 billion and $6,000 billion by 2025 [4].
American business elites had supported Donald John Trump for his entrepreneurial background which proved good for fossil fuels companies, but proved a boomerang to electronic software business companies. Smart grid and renewable energy business are climate change driven Trojan War. Trump’s travel ban on seven countries and climate change engine is deadly attack on Achilles Heel.
Trump’s victory is a bolt out of the blue for the dollar hungry capitalists who ingeniously invent problems to sell their solutions. Smart cities, wireless power and smart relays revenues are $3 billion, $4 billion, $6 billion today, which are forecast to expand to $10 billion, $18 billion and $89 billion by 2025. Home energy management, smart transformers & switches and building automation market revenue is $3 billion, $21 billion, $50 billion today, which are forecast to increase to $7.8 billion, $ 24 billion and 101 billion by 2025. Total smart grid and IT business are forecast to more than global wealth by 2050, when oil depletion and climate change peaks will coincide together.
Natural reserves are finite but our desires are infinite. This planet may provide food for 50 billion people, but it cannot fulfill desires of one person. Politicians and people have different parties and beliefs, but rely on observation and experience. Politicians may do white collar crimes - and people may believe or not in angels, demons and witches - the scientists trust in science which shows climate change. Climate change is ensuing and needs not our concurrence. People follow laws and machines follow logic which is in harmony with nature. Nature ensues, without warning and happens as a consequence.
Nature is based on discipline and survival. Nature depends on temperature, pressure, height, potential and economic gradients to maintain the equilibrium. Temperature difference causes heat flow, pressure difference causes winds waft, height difference causes rivers run, potential difference causes currents flow and economic difference causes societies function [5]. Economic differences make us work and think of inventing smart machines. Who will work in hot summer days and cold winter nights if everyone has equal wealth?
Nature has kept the difference between good and bad to perpetuate us love the light (good) and hate the evil (dark). The water and carbon cycles drive the glaciers, rains, snowfalls, forests, biodiversity and ecosystems. Our universe consists of energy sources and sinks. Combustion of hydrocarbon releases heat and carbon dioxide, which increase entropy and expedite global warming. When all energy sources and sinks will have same temperature that would be the doomsday.
Water vapors based greenhouse effect raises earth’s natural -14C temperature to +15C by adding 31C temperature gradients. Nature made the planet worth living after billions’ years thermal tuning. Plants, animals and humans have a natural ecosystem to use the carbon dioxide emissions. The rampant rise in GHG emissions since 1750 has led to significant climate change. People born in the 1940s and 1950s know evaporation of snow falls during winters when surface waters, on lakes and ponds use to make ice sheets in winters. Our own observations look like stories to digital age youngsters.
Let the sun shine, rivers run, winds waft and birds chirp. We are part of nature the Paris agreement or Trump’s triumph is the natural consequence. Let the nature take its course on collapsing societies, complex ecosystems, water and carbon cycles. Nature uses small species like viruses, bacteria, insects, reptiles, birds and animals to maintain its equilibrium. Species violently act against stimuli to restore nature. Plague killed millions of people in 19th and 20th centuries. Martin bird’s stone attack on elephants besieging Mecca and upside down of Loot’s City in Arab Peninsula before Christianity and Islam are few documented examples of ancient history where nature preserved itself.
Frogs attack on Oconto town in Wisconsin due to unfavorable climate conditions elsewhere in 1952, locust swarms attack on Punjab in Pakistan due to drought in Africa in 1960s, camels attack on population in Dockers River basin due to drought in Northern Australia in 2009, penguin attack on Lake Beet villages due to shortage of octopus in South Africa in 2012, crows attack on California town in Pennsylvania due to chilly winter in 2012, polar bear attack on Churchill town in Canada due to shrinking Arctic ice sheets in 2013, black bear attack on Luchegorsk town in Russia due to loss of pignoli food in Siberia in 2015, elephants attack on Jageloken town in Liberia due to deforestation in 2015, bats attack on Golf Beet Manes city in New South Wales in 2016 and black snakes attack on Kwaaso in Ghana in 2016 are examples of recent history [6].
Water, food, weather and shelter shortages persuade animals attack humans in pursuit of their survival. The widening gap between rich and poor has led to terrorism. Climate change driven extreme heat and cold waves are driving moderately poor people into extremists. You can control humans with justice, not weapons. America exploded about 72 bombs on Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria, Yemen, Somalia and Sudan during the war on terror which still continues but nature suicide attack technology to war torn people. Suicide bombers carried out thousands of attacks killing millions in Islamic countries. A suicide bomber is an adaptive intelligent weapon, who needs no complex electronics to reach the targets. NASA claims longtime stay in space changes genes. It looks as if climate change has already affected some people’s genes, who have started cutting the trunk on which they are seated.
Trump travel ban on seven US led terror war hit Islamic countries created a chaos, but American Judiciary declared it unconstitutional order in time. Trump is right that he did not ban seven countries on the basis of religion as there are 40 more similar Islamic countries which are permitted. Greed and lust for profits has led to the failure of capitalism. If we do social justices on humanitarian grounds, then we need not build border walls for fear of external threats, though, internal are more serious. Hungry humans and animals hunt each other as 100 people and 300 pigs were seen living in harmony in Japanese Island Kakara due to abundance of fruits and crops for humans and ground potatoes and pumpkins for pigs.
Fossil fuels driven industrial revolutions have given us prosperity at the expense of global warming. The instrument readings’ based Keeling Curves and satellite observations based records confirm shrinking ice caps and retreating glaciers from the Alps to Himalayas. Sustained combustion of fossil fuels is likely to cause a thermal runaway. We have unearthed the long buried hydrocarbons, which nature had stored in deep subsurface as surplus material. Animals and marines are the oldest species on earth, which do not recognize the oil slicks and plastics. Nature does not warn it ensues. Climate change is the consequence not warning which we do not take. Forgetting Paris Accord, let us see what science says.
Climate change mediators claim CO2 levels have never exceeded 400ppm in last 650,000 years, even after the end of the last ice age 7000 years ago. Every next year, since last two decades, is hotter than the previous year [7]. Sea level rose 17cm in the last century and rising rate is twice in this century. The global temperature rose by 0.65C which is likely to increase to 3C by end of century. Temperatures of oceans in top 700m have increased by 0.302F since 1969. Greenland is losing 36 to 40 cubic mile ice every year and Antarctica has lost 36 cubic miles from 2002 to 2005. Arctic sea ice has been declining rapidly since last several decades. Himalayas, Alps, Andes, Rockies, Alaska and African glaciers are retreating fast due to temperature rise, carbon black and smog deposition on mountains. High and low temperature record exhibit extreme weather events. Ocean acidification is a big threat to shell type marine life. The oceans are already acidic yet 2 billion tons carbon dioxide enters every year [8].
If everyone lives the way Americans live it would require five earths to provide resources. Five countries, including America produce 50% of global CO2 emissions. China and India were coming on track of reducing emissions who will U-turn with Trump’s denial. The average global sea level is expected to rise by 7-23 inches, which is enough to sink a few countries and flood tens of coastal cities. More than one million species face extinction risk by loss of habitats, acidic oceans and changing ecosystems. Arctic region may become ice free by 2040. California is already suffering from drought and widespread sinkholes occur in other places. Heat and cold waves between 1979 and 2016 caused more than 10,000 premature deaths. Global CO2 emissions from human activities (37.4Gt) like combustion of fossil fuels, agriculture waste, building materials, and direct human breath (2.6Gt) at rate of 1kg CO2 per person per day. There are seven scary facts which we cannot ignore [9].
The climate change message was the heart of Obama’s energy plan. Climate change graphics were good, the message was clear, but as soon as Donald Trump entered the White House, minutes after his inauguration, climate change driven energy plan excerpt was replaced by An American First Energy Plan. Intention to combat global warming was at the heart of Obama’s energy plan which now has been replaced by climate hostile fossil fuels driven politics [10]. The loud and clear message “our children and their children’s children will look at us in the eye to ask, did you do all that you could when you had the chance to deal with aggravating the problem in time to make us safe?” was purged on January 20, 2017. Trump appointed Thomas Pyle (BA in Political Science) the head of the energy transition team, Scott Pruitt (BA Political Science) the head of environmental protection agency, Rick Perry (BS Animal Science) the head of the energy department to revive coal, oil and shale industries [11-13] Trump energy and environment teams also haunt the inventive minds behind creating climate change hype and smart grid notions. They are analyzing DOE for commercialization of their scientific and technological prowess. EIA is statistical arm supply data and analytical decisions. Energy transition teams are probing mission innovation and clean energy which used $1.3 billion on funding 475 projects [14]. Oil depletion, global warming and renewable alternatives have gone, déjà vu, peak oil demand stranded with fossil fuel damages to companies in place of peak oil scare is on the table [15].
American, European and Asian activists, journalists, scientists and environmentalists portray American President, Donald Trump and his Environmental Protection Agency Minister, Scott Pruitt’s attitude towards climate science as bolshie bull’s blitz on the planet. This is not the first political assault on climate change data as Canada’s earlier Prime Minister, Stephen Harper, also had tossed digitized 600,000 volume collection of aquatic research dating back to 1880’s into dumpsters. Trump plans to ax NASA’s $2 billion earth-science grant would make scientists blind of futures without ecosystem monitoring appliances. Is it beginning of Brono’s era, when researchers used to be burnt alive in Oxford? NASA’s fleet of earth observation satellites collects data on ballooning greenhouse gases, rising sea levels, retreating glaciers and shifting rainfall patterns.
Our future generations would be stunned on reading Trump’s paradigm shift on climate change. Future historians will give a picture of current chilly winters with simulated examples, as the global warming battered generations won’t be aware of today’s frosty winters, to start the story of thermal runaway followed by Trump’s decision to proscribe actions on climate science. Energy and environment experts had started shifting and hiding climate change data after Trump’s victory as they had sniffed the smell of undercover plans to ban combat efforts against climate change [16]. Scientists had a huge task of shifting the Big Data with limited GHz speeds computers what they then called the supercomputers as they were yet not aware of Light Computers. A few scientists dared to advocate the climate change consequences to incumbent trump and wild cards but they overwhelmed them. As a last attempt they started saving the Big Data a fraction of which we have today in January 20, 2117.
Scientists were seen in a resolute race against time, from Trump’s victory to the inauguration ceremony, to protect the big climate change data on NASA, NOAA and EPA Servers waiting to be washed out after incumbency of American Elect President Donald Trump. Tens of American Universities offered three free services to host their environmental data for continued access of researchers, but incumbents used government secrecy as pretext to refuse data hosting requests as they were against the very concept of climate change. Journalists, scientists and civil society members protested against the Elect President but they had no military intervention rule by that time to stop the global danger. American national times lagged the rest of world as it was situated half the world away. They learned very late the common sense that it is not very common. Mac may believe anything but he cannot impose his views on global community. Trump considered climate change a hoax perpetrated by Chinese to shut down American industries which the world did not accept until end of his divisive dynasty in American history [17]. After one week of governance millions of voters and companies started protest against him.
Trump doubled down on his promise to give Americans a tax break. American lower, middle and upper classes will pay 12%, 25% and 33% taxes. He issued a trio of executive orders on sweeping trade deal with Asia (TPP), hiring freeze and foreign aid for abortion which were hailed by digital rights activists but criticized by senior party statesmen. Donald Trump does not believe in climate change yet believes in clean air and water which is impossible in presence of fossil fuels combustions [18]. He is not willing to ratify the agreement, Paris Accord, signed by 200 countries including America. Combustion of fossil fuels in air produces heat, water and CO2. Fossil fuels addicts present scientific basis of using halogens as oxidizing agents instead of oxygen to get rid of CO2. Coal power plants are just right using carbon capture and storage technologies [19]. British Stoburn and Finish CarbFix projects are good signs to deal with climate change problem. American scientists’ metallic hydrogen superconductor discovery is yet another holy grail yet to be developed [20]. Earlier Japanese scientists, based on seismic waves patterns, had included the earth core had, 85% iron, 10% nickel and 5% silicon to form efficient geo magnetism (akin to transformer core silicon steel laminations) yet idea of metallic hydrogen may change the complete story of earth core composition history [21].
Obama policy was driven by covert ambitions to fight climate change through a slew of energy efficiency standards or regulations, each of which took a small bite out of total greenhouse gas emissions, on lesser use of energy. Trump is doling out plum adviser jobs to rich friends and executive positions to Muslim hatred, anti-climatic and anti-smart grid conservatives. Trump’s energy plan consists of coal, oil, shale gas and nuclear plants. He wants to keep old coal and nuclear power plants online despite the risk of pollution and radioactive hazards. He has given green signal to operation of controversial Keystone XL pipeline to import Canadian sand oils to Gulf Coast refineries. He has also given green signal to Arctic and Atlantic oil drilling despite of the Mexican Gulf accident. Trump has started fulfilling promises of the first 100 days to rescind EPA regulations curbing coal plants’ emissions. Trumps threat to unravel Paris Agreement carries weight. America leads the 55 countries responsible for 55% global emissions. Hillary Clinton had pledged the rich countries including USA would commit $100 billion annually by 2020 to help poor countries adapt to the ravages of global warming. Trump’s withdrawal will undermine efforts against climate change by India and China. To make the coal acceptable the Trump team will face the challenge of increasing natural gas prices to make the coal competitive, which does not know how the global oil market works.
Michael Brune said, there are pools of oil industry waste water that are deeper than Trump’s grasp of energy. Trump attacked renewable energy by declaring solar too expensive and wind killing eagles. He advocates $50 trillion shale, oil, and gas reserves in federal lands. He believes in getting rid of regulations to open federal lands for coal mining, oil and gas drilling to reduce reliance on imported oils. Trumps victory has created uncertainty for wind and solar. Obama gave $10 billion subsidies to renewable energy producers and $5 billion to fossil fuels companies which might be reversed in 2017. According to DOE wind power costs fell more than 40% from 2002 to 2015 and solar power more than 60% from 2008 to 2015 [22]. Worldwide utilities had fixed varying percentages targets of transition from fossil fuels to renewable energies from 2030 to 2050 who are wondering on new political realities. Trump has replaced the White House climate change page with a pledge to increase coal mining and expedite drilling for more oil which is signal of big shift on energy and climate policies. Obama’s team worked for transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources and Trump’s team is working for transition back to fossil fuels. Global leaders fear Trump’s climate denial, but complain US establishment for retreat from Paris Accord [23].
Air, water and food sustain life. Fossil fuels, toxic wastes and GMOs pollute the fresh air, clean water and food supply chain system. Everybody appreciates Trumps clean air and water missions, but these are not possible without curbing fossil fuel combustions. World community praises Trump’s tax reductions, measures against terrorists and views on offshore companies to reduce tax evasions and corruption. Global elites have placed the black money in offshore companies and Swiss Banks which should end to help the 80% global poor community. American and foreign poor people will thank Trump for shutting down offshore companies where leaders of developing countries place the poor people’s money. US marines need not sacrifice their lives to spread light in barrens, if US agencies to stop funding the terror networks. Trump accused Hillary and Obama to be the masterminds of ISIS destroying Peninsula Arabia, but he also banned US entry to terror hit refugees which is a gross violation of UN Charter. US military leaders’ advice to incumbents for “quid Pro Quo” and “Black Swine Event” against old time allies reflects how trustworthy they are. World community supports, Trump’s agenda, against corruption, and Hillary’s agenda in support of decelerating the climate change. Nature has distributed various types of natural resources equally on the planet, it is humankind which disturbs the natural balance. All white, black, yellow, red and browns are children of same single parent (Adam and Eve) created by God. Diverse climates, regions and societies give us different colors, dialects and faiths. We hate or love each other we do take the same air and water molecules, which previously had passed through the lungs and stomachs of others. The smog and plastics we throw away eventually reach our lungs and stomachs through air, water and food supply chains. There is no “away” out there, it might be inside you.
Journalists feared long ago Trump’s policies would be characterized by fear and confusion as the world grapples with what the “America First” really means [24]. Trump’s “America First” policy will give an edge to China and Russia [25]. Trump’s ban on climate change, renewable energy and emigrants, and eye wink to oil, coal and shale companies is mandate for nowhere [26]. Harvard University’s President told the management benefits from the talent, energy, knowledge and ideas of people from nations around the world. Nearly half of Harvard University deans are from India, China, Ireland, Jamaica and Iran. Ban opponents worry the temporary travel ban for 90 days will turn into permanent ban, which is against American national interests [27]. Trump’s policy to ferret out rogue staffer or fire key incumbents criticizing his executive orders may lead to chaotic descent. Trump uses social media, twitter, to wield his views and rant about anything which can be used against him [28].
Trump wants to build a wall between America and Mexico, but the Americans want him build bridges not walls. A quotation attributed to Newton is that humankind could not develop because of building walls to separate them and not bridges to unite them. Nine Southern states on a 900,000 km2 area have historic links with Mexican people, as Pakistan’s FATA people with Afghanistan. Business elites liked him because of his business background, but after his travel ban order, Apple to Tesla and Google to Silicon Valley turn against him. History tells the Hitler had won the election with Trump type political aims which is not good for globalization. Chinese military analysts see Trump’s views leading to war in South China Sea and Russian ex-president signals beginning of third world war. Trump’s mission to make America great again is a sound bite as America has already been a great country. He wants to lock Americans in a dark room which may be a great disconnect.
Bush attacked Afghanistan and Iraq with the pretext of weapons of mass destruction which proved wrong, and Obama extended the war zone to Libya, Syria and Yemen. America has converted Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria, Yemen, Sudan and Somalia into ruins after 9/11. Trump’s travel ban on refugees and genuine visa or green card holders of terror war hit civilians is injustice and denial to UN charter. American quid pro quo and black swan policies and backfire strategies killed more than 70,000 people in Pakistan, who provided logistic support to US and NATO forces. It is time to evaporate ISIS and heal the wounds of war torn region refugees. America can occupy some regions in Afghanistan and Iraq, but cannot rule people due to lack of knowledge about local languages and mindsets. Bush and Obama have lost more than $1 trillion in this long war, yet no victory in sight. If Americans think bombing thatched roof homes is victory, then America is winning the war. All the seven evils drive the hearts and brains of local rich incumbents, whose wealth have been snowballing by corruption and commissions. They are neither loyal to locals nor foreigners. American elites like Bill Gates ($86B), Warn Buft ($68B) and Mark Zukeria ($50B) earn through innovative ideas and inventive research based products, but the elites in developing countries steal tax payers’ money and deposit in offshore companies and foreign bank accounts. Imran Khan did not demand ban on entry of Pakistanis into USA for solidarity with Peninsular Arabia, rather to stop the money laundering.
When animals are deprived from life sustaining relics like air, water and food, then they start attacking human settlings. Humans are wise species who can manage many more intellectual ways to get their rights. Give a chance to the higher morality and justice based governance instead of force. Media has made Trump in White House look like a wild lion in a cage, attacking on every bystander. Science and agriculture research has brought prosperity worldwide, yet every 9th or 10th person sleeps hungry. It may be attributed to rampant rise in population as well as global economic systems. The global free market based economic system has accumulated 99% of global resources into the hands of 1% people. Assets of top ten multinational companies, may equal total economic volume of 180 countries. Money begets money so rich is becoming richer and poor further poorer. American voters elected Trump to give them economic justice by not legalizing offshore companies and tax heavens not ban the poor immigrants. It is a land of immigrants how an immigrant can stop other immigrants in presence of liberty statue?
References
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http://fortune.com/2017/01/27/donald-trump-china-america-first/
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