India's renewed focus on relations with Sri Lanka appears to
be a course of action designed to strengthen Indo-Sri Lankan ties due to an
expanding Chinese presence in the South Asia region.
The country is reconfiguring its military policy toward Sri
Lanka and is exhibiting a more supportive stance toward the government's
efforts against the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE).
In March, India invited Sri Lankan Army Commander
Lieutenant-General Sarath Fonseka to visit and tour Indian operations along the
India-Pakistan border. The Sri Lankan general also met with Indian Army General
Deepak Kapoor as well as Defense Minister AK Antony, and there was discussion
on security measures to eradicate terrorism as well as talks on possible
cooperation between India and Sri Lanka.
The visit promoted India's anti-insurgency capabilities
while highlighting the common themes and culture that the two militaries share.
Fonseka also visited with India's Lieutenant-General KS
Yadava, commander of the Indian Infantry School and both leaders shared
information on new warfare strategies. Prior to his departure, Fonseka visited
with Sri Lankan Army Officers involved in training at India's Army War College
in Madhya Pradesh.
Due primarily to reported human rights violations and a
large and supportive Tamil population within its own borders, the Indian
government has refrained from directly supporting the Sri Lankan military with
offensive weapons systems for use against the LTTE. Instead, it has chosen to
provide Sri Lanka with certain defensive military capabilities such as critical
intelligence information and radar systems for use in detecting LTTE aircraft.
Recently, however, this stance has begun to change.
India has already begun to play a much larger role in naval
security and operations. Likewise, a report issued on 6 June 2007 in the Times
of India stated that New Delhi was seriously considering increasing its support
and drastically upgrading its military aid to Sri Lanka to include offensive
capabilities.
This increase in support is likely a result of India's
growing concern over Chinese influence in Sri Lankan military affairs.
In April 2007, Sri Lanka signed a US$37.6 million classified
arms deal with Chinese defense manufacturer Poly Technologies to provide
supplies of ammunition and ordnance for its army and navy, in addition to
varied small arms for the defense forces. A second Chinese arms agreement
provides Sri Lanka with a JY 11 3D radar system, developed by China National
Electronics Import Export Corp for US$5 million.
It is likely that India views these weapons contracts as
security risks as well as a serious encroachment into its sphere of influence. In
June 2007, Indian National Security Advisor AK Narayanan publicly insisted that
Sri Lanka should not approach Pakistan or China. for weapons. India also likely
understands that in order to retain and increase its power position in South
Asia it needs to improve relations with Sri Lanka and increase military support
for the Sri Lankan government.
The Chinese are in competition for Sri Lanka due to the
island's strategic location near important shipping routes.. China sees these
sea lanes as vital because its energy supplies pass through the Indian Ocean
region. Sri Lanka's proximity to the Indian mainland is also attractive.
Chinese analysts appear to view India as a future competitor and advocate a
comprehensive strategy focusing on containing Indian influence. Such a strategy
will utilize economic tools such as aid, trade and infrastructural development
as well as enhanced military cooperation with pro-China countries like Sri
Lanka.
The threat of Sri Lanka's weapons procurement via Chinese
arms deals, although important, is only a segment of Chinese interaction in Sri
Lanka. China is increasing the volume of its investments there, and in 2007
Chinese assistance grew fivefold to nearly US$1 billion, surpassing Japan, Sri
Lanka's formerly largest economic supporter.
China has entered into recent explorations for oil in Sri
Lanka, as well as providing support for the construction of new port and bunker
facilities at Hambantota. The new port facilities will cost an estimated US$360
million, and a portion of the project has already begun with Chinese
assistance.
It is estimated that the Chinese see their stake in this
project not only as a method to gain support with the Sri Lankan government but
also as a way to procure a strategic position on the primary East-West trade
route that lies just six nautical miles away. The Chinese are also involved in
building a US$60 billion stretch of highway that leads to the northeast area of
the island and are funding the development of a coal power plant that they hope
will generate 20 gigawatts by the year 2020.