In resolving differences between the two
chambers’ defense authorization bills for fiscal 2008, the conferees prohibited
the Defense Department from fielding submarine-launched Trident missiles
converted from their traditional nuclear warhead configuration to a
conventional capability. The Pentagon had requested $175 million for the
so-called Conventional Trident Modification as the first in a series of “prompt
global strike” weapons that could hit targets halfway around the world within
60 minutes of a launch order.
These arms are to be tailored for threat
scenarios in which targets are fleeting, such as when a terrorist location has
been pinpointed or a rogue nation is preparing to launch a weapon of mass
destruction.
However, following the lead of the defense
appropriations conference bill last month, the authorizers voiced worries about
the possibility that Russia or other nuclear powers might misinterpret the
launch of a conventionally tipped D-5 missile from a Trident submarine as a
nuclear attack. The misunderstanding, in turn, might elicit a
nuclear-armed response, lawmakers have said.
“The conferees remain concerned about prompt
global strike concepts that would employ a mixed loading of nuclear and
non-nuclear systems and believe that DOD should carefully address these
ambiguity concerns,” according to the report filed last week.
Under the Pentagon’s plan for conventional
Trident, defense officials had intended to install 96 non-nuclear warheads on
24 D-5 missiles throughout the submarine fleet at a total cost of $503
million. The remaining missiles aboard the boats would have carried nuclear
warheads.
Marine Corps Gen. James Cartwright, vice
chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and a leading advocate of the
conventional Trident concept, recently acknowledged that Capitol Hill concerns
would likely stall the effort.
Cartwright told
Global Security Newswire he
saw “signaling … from the Hill, which I don’t necessarily disagree with,” to
shelve the conventional Trident and “start to focus the [research and
development] on the next generation beyond conventional Trident.”
An alternative land- or sea-based weapon
system might “provide either flight profile or launch conditions that would be
less ambiguous,” he said.
As one such alternative, the Pentagon is
working on a concept for building a new, medium-range weapon that could be
launched from any of four converted Ohio-class submarines, which are to carry
only conventional weapons.
However, Russia’s advanced early warning
systems might similarly misinterpret the launch of this weapon as a U.S.
nuclear strike using a “depressed-trajectory” Trident D-5, according to Hans
Kristensen, director of the Nuclear Information Project at the Washington-based
Federation of American Scientists.
Launching the missile in a flatter arc
involves a shorter flight time to target and gives less time for other nations
to detect and react to an incoming attack, according to nuclear weapons
experts. The shorter time lines might make for hasty and more provocative
responses from Russia or other nuclear powers, critics worry.
Last week’s conference report backs existing
plans to create a multiservice funding pot for an “integrated” prompt global
strike program that would support an array of technologies. The bill
language does not preclude the Pentagon from spending some of $100 million in
joint fiscal 2008 funds on conventional Trident components or technologies, as
long as they are “applicable to other [prompt global strike] alternatives or
use of the Trident D-5 as a test platform.”
It remained unclear at press time whether the
report language was intended to limit the types of tests that might be
conducted using the Trident D-5 missile.
Last month, President George W. Bush signed
into law a defense appropriations bill providing $100 million in fiscal 2008
for prompt global strike research and development. The House yesterday
approved the authorization conference report, and it is expected to go to a
vote on the Senate floor before the holiday recess.
Potential land-based alternatives for the
mission include an Air Force Conventional Strike Missile and an Army Advanced Hypersonic
Weapon. Congress last month provided the Army weapon $41.7 million in
unrequested funds, outside of the multiservice prompt global strike account.
Generally speaking, the lawmakers noted in
the report “the value of developing conventional prompt global strike
capabilities that may be needed for time-sensitive operations.” These
capabilities “would also continue the post-Cold War trend of reducing U.S.
reliance on nuclear weapons by providing the president with a wider variety of
non-nuclear strike options,” the document reads.
The legislators also directed the defense
secretary to submit to Congress a research, development and test plan for
prompt global strike technologies. They also extended through 2009 an
existing annual requirement for the defense secretary to present an integrated
plan for developing, deploying, and sustaining a prompt global strike
capability.
Further, lawmakers called on the Pentagon’s
head of acquisition and technology to report on how the Defense Department
plans to allocate its fiscal 2008 prompt global strike funds. The defense
buying czar must issue the report before the funds can be spent.