Because of US government subsidies, American farmers were
devoting more and more acreage to corn for ethanol than for food, which sparked
a steep rise in corn prices. The diversion of corn from tortillas to biofuel
was certainly one cause of skyrocketing prices, though speculation on biofuel
demand by transnational middlemen may have played a bigger role. However, an
intriguing question escaped many observers: how on earth did Mexicans, who live
in the land where corn was domesticated, become dependent on US imports in the
first place?
The Mexican food crisis cannot be fully understood without
taking into account the fact that in the years preceding the tortilla crisis,
the homeland of corn had been converted to a corn-importing economy by
"free market" policies promoted by the International Monetary Fund
(IMF), the World Bank and Washington. The process began with the early 1980s
debt crisis. One of the two largest developing-country debtors, Mexico was
forced to beg for money from the Bank and IMF to service its debt to
international commercial banks. The quid pro quo for a multibillion-dollar
bailout was what a member of the World Bank executive board described as
"unprecedented thoroughgoing interventionism" designed to eliminate
high tariffs, state regulations and government support institutions, which
neoliberal doctrine identified as barriers to economic efficiency.
Interest
payments rose from 19 percent of total government expenditures in 1982 to 57
percent in 1988, while capital expenditures dropped from an already low 19.3
percent to 4.4 percent. The contraction of government spending translated into
the dismantling of state credit, government-subsidized agricultural inputs,
price supports, state marketing boards and extension services. Unilateral liberalization
of agricultural trade pushed by the IMF and World Bank also contributed to the
destabilization of peasant producers.
This blow
to peasant agriculture was followed by an even larger one in 1994, when the
North American Free Trade Agreement went into effect. Although NAFTA had a
fifteen-year phaseout of tariff protection for agricultural products, including
corn, highly subsidized US corn quickly flooded in, reducing prices by half and
plunging the corn sector into chronic crisis. Largely as a result of this
agreement, Mexico's status as a net food importer has now been firmly
established.
With the
shutting down of the state marketing agency for corn, distribution of US corn
imports and Mexican grain has come to be monopolized by a few transnational
traders, like US-owned Cargill and partly US-owned Maseca, operating on both
sides of the border. This has given them tremendous power to speculate on trade
trends, so that movements in biofuel demand can be manipulated and magnified
many times over. At the same time, monopoly control of domestic trade has
ensured that a rise in international corn prices does not translate into
significantly higher prices paid to small producers.
It has
become increasingly difficult for Mexican corn farmers to avoid the fate of
many of their fellow corn cultivators and other smallholders in sectors such as
rice, beef, poultry and pork, who have gone under because of the advantages
conferred by NAFTA on subsidized US producers. According to a 2003 Carnegie
Endowment report, imports of US agricultural products threw at least 1.3
million farmers out of work--many of whom have since found their way to the
United States.
Prospects
are not good, since the Mexican government continues to be controlled by
neoliberals who are systematically dismantling the peasant support system, a
key legacy of the Mexican Revolution. As Food First executive director Eric
Holt-Giménez sees it, "It will take time and effort to recover smallholder
capacity, and there does not appear to be any political will for this--to say
nothing of the fact that NAFTA would have to be renegotiated."
Creating
a Rice Crisis in the Philippines
That the
global food crisis stems mainly from free-market restructuring of agriculture is
clearer in the case of rice. Unlike corn, less than 10 percent of world rice
production is traded. Moreover, there has been no diversion of rice from food
consumption to biofuels. Yet this year alone, prices nearly tripled, from $380
a ton in January to more than $1,000 in April. Undoubtedly the inflation stems
partly from speculation by wholesaler cartels at a time of tightening supplies.
However, as with Mexico and corn, the big puzzle is why a number of formerly
self-sufficient rice-consuming countries have become severely dependent on
imports.
The
Philippines provides a grim example of how neoliberal economic restructuring
transforms a country from a net food exporter to a net food importer. The
Philippines is the world's largest importer of rice. Manila's desperate effort
to secure supplies at any price has become front-page news, and pictures of
soldiers providing security for rice distribution in poor communities have
become emblematic of the global crisis.
The broad
contours of the Philippines story are similar to those of Mexico. Dictator
Ferdinand Marcos was guilty of many crimes and misdeeds, including failure to
follow through on land reform, but one thing he cannot be accused of is
starving the agricultural sector. To head off peasant discontent, the regime
provided farmers with subsidized fertilizer and seeds, launched credit plans
and built rural infrastructure. When Marcos fled the country in 1986, there
were 900,000 metric tons of rice in government warehouses.
Paradoxically,
the next few years under the new democratic dispensation saw the gutting of
government investment capacity. As in Mexico the World Bank and IMF, working on
behalf of international creditors, pressured the Corazon Aquino administration
to make repayment of the $26 billion foreign debt a priority. Aquino
acquiesced, though she was warned by the country's top economists that the
"search for a recovery program that is consistent with a debt repayment
schedule determined by our creditors is a futile one." Between 1986 and 1993
8 percent to 10 percent of GDP left the Philippines yearly in debt-service
payments--roughly the same proportion as in Mexico. Interest payments as a
percentage of expenditures rose from 7 percent in 1980 to 28 percent in 1994;
capital expenditures plunged from 26 percent to 16 percent. In short, debt
servicing became the national budgetary priority.
Spending
on agriculture fell by more than half. The World Bank and its local acolytes
were not worried, however, since one purpose of the belt-tightening was to get
the private sector to energize the countryside. But agricultural capacity
quickly eroded. Irrigation stagnated, and by the end of the 1990s only 17
percent of the Philippines' road network was paved, compared with 82 percent in
Thailand and 75 percent in Malaysia. Crop yields were generally anemic, with
the average rice yield way below those in China, Vietnam and Thailand, where
governments actively promoted rural production. The post-Marcos agrarian reform
program shriveled, deprived of funding for support services, which had been the
key to successful reforms in Taiwan and South Korea. As in Mexico Filipino
peasants were confronted with full-scale retreat of the state as provider of
comprehensive support--a role they had come to depend on.
And the
cutback in agricultural programs was followed by trade liberalization, with the
Philippines' 1995 entry into the World Trade Organization having the same
effect as Mexico's joining NAFTA. WTO membership required the Philippines to
eliminate quotas on all agricultural imports except rice and allow a certain
amount of each commodity to enter at low tariff rates. While the country was
allowed to maintain a quota on rice imports, it nevertheless had to admit the
equivalent of 1 to 4 percent of domestic consumption over the next ten years.
In fact, because of gravely weakened production resulting from lack of state
support, the government imported much more than that to make up for shortfalls.
The massive imports depressed the price of rice, discouraging farmers and
keeping growth in production at a rate far below that of the country's two top
suppliers, Thailand and Vietnam.
The
consequences of the Philippines' joining the WTO barreled through the rest of
its agriculture like a super-typhoon. Swamped by cheap corn imports--much of it
subsidized US grain--farmers reduced land devoted to corn from 3.1 million
hectares in 1993 to 2.5 million in 2000. Massive importation of chicken parts
nearly killed that industry, while surges in imports destabilized the poultry,
hog and vegetable industries.
During the
1994 campaign to ratify WTO membership, government economists, coached by their
World Bank handlers, promised that losses in corn and other traditional crops
would be more than compensated for by the new export industry of
"high-value-added" crops like cut flowers, asparagus and broccoli.
Little of this materialized. Nor did many of the 500,000 agricultural jobs that
were supposed to be created yearly by the magic of the market; instead,
agricultural employment dropped from 11.2 million in 1994 to 10.8 million in
2001.
The
one-two punch of IMF-imposed adjustment and WTO-imposed trade liberalization
swiftly transformed a largely self-sufficient agricultural economy into an
import-dependent one as it steadily marginalized farmers. It was a wrenching
process, the pain of which was captured by a Filipino government negotiator
during a WTO session in Geneva. "Our small producers," he said,
"are being slaughtered by the gross unfairness of the international
trading environment."
The
Great Transformation
The
experience of Mexico and the Philippines was paralleled in one country after
another subjected to the ministrations of the IMF and the WTO. A study of
fourteen countries by the UN's Food and Agricultural Organization found that
the levels of food imports in 1995-98 exceeded those in 1990-94. This was not
surprising, since one of the main goals of the WTO's Agreement on Agriculture
was to open up markets in developing countries so they could absorb surplus
production in the North. As then-US Agriculture Secretary John Block put it in
1986, "The idea that developing countries should feed themselves is an
anachronism from a bygone era. They could better ensure their food security by
relying on US agricultural products, which are available in most cases at lower
cost."
What Block
did not say was that the lower cost of US products stemmed from subsidies,
which became more massive with each passing year despite the fact that the WTO
was supposed to phase them out. From $367 billion in 1995, the total amount of
agricultural subsidies provided by developed-country governments rose to $388
billion in 2004. Since the late 1990s subsidies have accounted for 40 percent
of the value of agricultural production in the European Union and 25 percent in
the United States.
The
apostles of the free market and the defenders of dumping may seem to be at
different ends of the spectrum, but the policies they advocate are bringing
about the same result: a globalized capitalist industrial agriculture.
Developing countries are being integrated into a system where export-oriented
production of meat and grain is dominated by large industrial farms like those
run by the Thai multinational CP and where technology is continually upgraded
by advances in genetic engineering from firms like Monsanto. And the
elimination of tariff and nontariff barriers is facilitating a global
agricultural supermarket of elite and middle-class consumers serviced by
grain-trading corporations like Cargill and Archer Daniels Midland and
transnational food retailers like the British-owned Tesco and the French-owned
Carrefour.
There is
little room for the hundreds of millions of rural and urban poor in this
integrated global market. They are confined to giant suburban favelas, where
they contend with food prices that are often much higher than the supermarket
prices, or to rural reservations, where they are trapped in marginal
agricultural activities and increasingly vulnerable to hunger. Indeed, within
the same country, famine in the marginalized sector sometimes coexists with
prosperity in the globalized sector.
This is
not simply the erosion of national food self-sufficiency or food security but
what Africanist Deborah Bryceson of Oxford calls
"de-peasantization"--the phasing out of a mode of production to make
the countryside a more congenial site for intensive capital accumulation. This
transformation is a traumatic one for hundreds of millions of people, since
peasant production is not simply an economic activity. It is an ancient way of
life, a culture, which is one reason displaced or marginalized peasants in
India have taken to committing suicide. In the state of Andhra Pradesh, farmer
suicides rose from 233 in 1998 to 2,600 in 2002; in Maharashtra, suicides more
than tripled, from 1,083 in 1995 to 3,926 in 2005. One estimate is that some
150,000 Indian farmers have taken their lives. Collapse of prices from trade
liberalization and loss of control over seeds to biotech firms is part of a
comprehensive problem, says global justice activist Vandana Shiva: "Under
globalization, the farmer is losing her/his social, cultural, economic identity
as a producer. A farmer is now a 'consumer' of costly seeds and costly
chemicals sold by powerful global corporations through powerful landlords and
money lenders locally."
African
Agriculture: From Compliance to Defiance
De-peasantization
is at an advanced state in Latin America and Asia. And if the World Bank has
its way, Africa will travel in the same direction. As Bryceson and her colleagues
correctly point out in a recent article, the
World Development Report
for 2008, which touches extensively on agriculture in Africa, is practically a
blueprint for the transformation of the continent's peasant-based agriculture
into large-scale commercial farming. However, as in many other places today,
the Bank's wards are moving from sullen resentment to outright defiance.
At the
time of decolonization, in the 1960s, Africa was actually a net food exporter.
Today the continent imports 25 percent of its food; almost every country is a
net importer. Hunger and famine have become recurrent phenomena, with the past
three years alone seeing food emergencies break out in the Horn of Africa, the
Sahel, and Southern and Central Africa.
Agriculture
in Africa is in deep crisis, and the causes range from wars to bad governance,
lack of agricultural technology and the spread of HIV/AIDS. However, as in
Mexico and the Philippines, an important part of the explanation is the phasing
out of government controls and support mechanisms under the IMF and World Bank
structural adjustment programs imposed as the price for assistance in servicing
external debt.
Structural
adjustment brought about declining investment, increased unemployment, reduced
social spending, reduced consumption and low output. Lifting price controls on
fertilizers while simultaneously cutting back on agricultural credit systems
simply led to reduced fertilizer use, lower yields and lower investment.
Moreover, reality refused to conform to the doctrinal expectation that
withdrawal of the state would pave the way for the market to dynamize
agriculture. Instead, the private sector, which correctly saw reduced state
expenditures as creating more risk, failed to step into the breach. In country
after country, the departure of the state "crowded out" rather than
"crowded in" private investment. Where private traders did replace
the state, noted an Oxfam report, "they have sometimes done so on highly
unfavorable terms for poor farmers," leaving "farmers more food
insecure, and governments reliant on unpredictable international aid
flows." The usually pro-private sector
Economist agreed, admitting
that "many of the private firms brought in to replace state researchers
turned out to be rent-seeking monopolists."
The
support that African governments were allowed to muster was channeled by the
World Bank toward export agriculture to generate foreign exchange, which states
needed to service debt. But, as in Ethiopia during the 1980s famine, this led
to the dedication of good land to export crops, with food crops forced into
less suitable soil, thus exacerbating food insecurity. Moreover, the World
Bank's encouragement of several economies to focus on the same export crops
often led to overproduction, triggering price collapses in international
markets. For instance, the very success of Ghana's expansion of cocoa
production triggered a 48 percent drop in the international price between 1986
and 1989. In 2002-03 a collapse in coffee prices contributed to another food
emergency in Ethiopia.
As in
Mexico and the Philippines, structural adjustment in Africa was not simply
about underinvestment but state divestment. But there was one major difference.
In Africa the World Bank and IMF micromanaged, making decisions on how fast
subsidies should be phased out, how many civil servants had to be fired and
even, as in the case of Malawi, how much of the country's grain reserve should
be sold and to whom.
Compounding
the negative impact of adjustment were unfair EU and US trade practices.
Liberalization allowed subsidized EU beef to drive many West African and South
African cattle raisers to ruin. With their subsidies legitimized by the WTO, US
growers offloaded cotton on world markets at 20 percent to 55 percent of production
cost, thereby bankrupting West and Central African farmers.
According
to Oxfam, the number of sub-Saharan Africans living on less than a dollar a day
almost doubled, to 313 million, between 1981 and 2001--46 percent of the whole
continent. The role of structural adjustment in creating poverty was hard to
deny. As the World Bank's chief economist for Africa admitted, "We did not
think that the human costs of these programs could be so great, and the
economic gains would be so slow in coming."
In 1999 the
government of Malawi initiated a program to give each smallholder family a
starter pack of free fertilizers and seeds. The result was a national surplus
of corn. What came after is a story that should be enshrined as a classic case
study of one of the greatest blunders of neoliberal economics. The World Bank
and other aid donors forced the scaling down and eventual scrapping of the
program, arguing that the subsidy distorted trade. Without the free packs,
output plummeted. In the meantime, the IMF insisted that the government sell
off a large portion of its grain reserves to enable the food reserve agency to
settle its commercial debts. The government complied. When the food crisis
turned into a famine in 2001-02, there were hardly any reserves left. About
1,500 people perished. The IMF was unrepentant; in fact, it suspended its
disbursements on an adjustment program on the grounds that "the parastatal
sector will continue to pose risks to the successful implementation of the
2002/03 budget. Government interventions in the food and other agricultural
markets... [are] crowding out more productive spending."
By the
time an even worse food crisis developed in 2005, the government had had enough
of World Bank/IMF stupidity. A new president reintroduced the fertilizer
subsidy, enabling 2 million households to buy it at a third of the retail price
and seeds at a discount. The result: bumper harvests for two years, a
million-ton maize surplus and the country transformed into a supplier of corn
to Southern Africa.
Malawi's
defiance of the World Bank would probably have been an act of heroic but futile
resistance a decade ago. The environment is different today, since structural
adjustment has been discredited throughout Africa. Even some donor governments
and NGOs that used to subscribe to it have distanced themselves from the Bank.
Perhaps the motivation is to prevent their influence in the continent from
being further eroded by association with a failed approach and unpopular
institutions when Chinese aid is emerging as an alternative to World Bank, IMF
and Western government aid programs.
Food
Sovereignty: An Alternative Paradigm?
It is not
only defiance from governments like Malawi and dissent from their erstwhile allies
that are undermining the IMF and the World Bank. Peasant organizations around
the world have become increasingly militant in their resistance to the
globalization of industrial agriculture. Indeed, it is because of pressure from
farmers' groups that the governments of the South have refused to grant wider
access to their agricultural markets and demanded a massive slashing of US and
EU agricultural subsidies, which brought the WTO's Doha Round of negotiations
to a standstill.
Farmers'
groups have networked internationally; one of the most dynamic to emerge is Via
Campesina (Peasant's Path). Via not only seeks to get "WTO out of
agriculture" and opposes the paradigm of a globalized capitalist
industrial agriculture; it also proposes an alternative--food sovereignty. Food
sovereignty means, first of all, the right of a country to determine its
production and consumption of food and the exemption of agriculture from global
trade regimes like that of the WTO. It also means consolidation of a
smallholder-centered agriculture via protection of the domestic market from
low-priced imports; remunerative prices for farmers and fisherfolk; abolition
of all direct and indirect export subsidies; and the phasing out of domestic
subsidies that promote unsustainable agriculture. Via's platform also calls for
an end to the Trade Related Intellectual Property Rights regime, or TRIPs,
which allows corporations to patent plant seeds; opposes agro-technology based
on genetic engineering; and demands land reform. In contrast to an integrated
global monoculture, Via offers the vision of an international agricultural
economy composed of diverse national agricultural economies trading with one
another but focused primarily on domestic production.
Once
regarded as relics of the pre-industrial era, peasants are now leading the
opposition to a capitalist industrial agriculture that would consign them to
the dustbin of history. They have become what Karl Marx described as a
politically conscious "class for itself," contradicting his
predictions about their demise. With the global food crisis, they are moving to
center stage--and they have allies and supporters. For as peasants refuse to go
gently into that good night and fight de-peasantization, developments in the
twenty-first century are revealing the panacea of globalized capitalist
industrial agriculture to be a nightmare. With environmental crises
multiplying, the social dysfunctions of urban-industrial life piling up and
industrialized agriculture creating greater food insecurity, the farmers'
movement increasingly has relevance not only to peasants but to everyone
threatened by the catastrophic consequences of global capital's vision for
organizing production, community and life itself.