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Editorial Last Updated: Jan 28, 2009 - 9:00:40 AM


Crisis In Madagascar
By Dr. Gary K. Busch 26/1/09
Jan 28, 2009 - 8:59:52 AM

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This Sunday morning Madagascar President Marc  Ravalomanana, was away in South Africa preparing to attend a SADC summit on Zimbabwe. Word came that there was rioting in the streets of the capital, Antananarivo . He cut short his visit and flew into his country Sunday afternoon to handle the situation. He was welcomed at the airport by thousands of his excited supporters, cabinet ministers and his prime minister, Charles Rabemananjara. His troops surrounded him and escorted him back to his residence.

There he was informed that the Mayor of the capital, Andry Rajoelina, had gone ahead with his threat to lead a general strike and to protest the closing of his station Viva TV in December 2007 by Ravolomanana. The new Mayor, who is only 34, had been elected to his office in early December 2007 as an opposition party to the President’s Tiako i Madagasikara (I love Madagascar) party. The tensions between the President and the Mayor have been intense. On the 17th of January 2009 the Mayor inaugurated a Democracy Square in the city in the presence of 20,000 supporters. The President was furious and heightened the level of police and army readiness. The Mayor called for a demonstration in the capital on Saturday. The Government banned the demonstration but it went on anyway, involving more than 25,000 protesters.

The pressure and violence kept building and, by Sunday, there were armed protesters, looters and disaffected youth pouring through the down town streets. Thousands more demonstrators demanding a new government took to the streets Monday and set Madagascar's state TV complex (controlled by the President) on fire to protest the shut-down of Andy’s TV station in December. In addition, an oil depot linked to the president could be seen on fire on the outskirts of the capital. During these attacks, the police and fire-fighters were nowhere to be seen. Local observers believe that they supported the protest (which had the support of the labour movement.) Over the weekend, Andy and, his deputy Andriamahazo Nirhy-Lanto. and their supporters had called for a general strike to begin Monday. Andy appeared at a central square in the capital on Monday morning, criticizing the government. He was surrounded by supporters wearing orange jackets — he has tried to model his campaign on Ukraine's 2004 pro-democracy Orange Revolution.

The primary issue between the two men is that Marc  Ravalomanana is one of the richest men in the country. Ravalamomanana owns substantial properties around the island; operates the nation's biggest food company; controls his own radio station and a television station; he owns two newspapers and a construction company. Recently, President Ravalomanana agreed to the lease and sale of large parcels of land to the South Korean company Dawoo for the cultivation of rice. This rice is wholly exported to South Korea, At the prices they charge, most Madagascans can hardly purchase a few kilos for consumption. The President maintains a ‘carrying interest’ in the project.

Ravalamomanana has attracted a number of international firms to the country, seeking to exploit Madagascar's reserves of nickel, cobalt, bauxite and ilmenite, oil, gold, coal, chromium, platinum and uranium. The Indians have always had a major share of the burgeoning gemstone industry. The President is involved in many of these undertakings.

Both sides have called for an end to violence and looting and the opening of negotiations. Rioters had earlier raided Radio Nationale Malgache in the city centre, while two warehouses of Ravalomanana's Tiko food processing company as well as his television station (MBS) were also partially burned, witnesses and officials said.

Andry Rajoelina accuses the president, who was re-elected to a second four-year term in 2006 of manifesting dictatorial tendencies. The first election of Ravalamomanana in the 2001 election was a prolonged battle with his predecessor, Didier Ratsiraka, who had been head of state from independence days ( 26 years). The post-election violence which followed the 2001 election only ceased when the High Constitutional Court upheld Ravalamomanana's victory. The post-electoral fight lasted for almost eight months before Ratsiraka fled to exile in France.

At least two people died on Monday when tens of thousands of anti-government protesters flooded the streets of Madagascar's capital, burning the state-owned TV and radio station. A policeman and a 14-year-old child have been killed during the demonstration so far and calm has not yet returned to the streets.

It seems very unlikely that Andy Rajoelina will be able to generate the kind of support that will drive the President from office. His power lies in the capital and, although there is great discontent in the country because of the economic slowdown, rising prices and stagnation this doesn't’t translate into power. The President still has the loyalty of the Amy; a loyalty which he pays for (in cash).

The question which must be answered is “Who is behind this protest?” Many think that the very real objections to Ravalamomanana’s dictatorial rule by the masses of the capital, however real, are not the sole motivation. There are many observers who see in this a French presence. The French have been unhappy with the independent policies of the President in inviting outside companies to participate in Madagascar business and this is their way of prodding him (as in the Comores) back to his French loyalties. Ratsiraka has been living in exile in France since 2002, only returning last year. Although an independent Andry was friendly with ex-president Didier Ratsiraka.. It was Andry’s interview with Ratsiraka which got Viva TV banned.

So, one must await further developments. It seems the French only want to shake things up a bit, not make a major change with an uncontrolled Andry.

Source:Ocnus.net 2009

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