When the votes were counted for
the Assembly (the lower house) and the Senate the results were seen as free and
fair. The system was transparent. Everyone in any position of authority or
responsibility knew the results of the ballot. The MDC won a majority
(combined) in the Assembly and had a very high percentage of the non-appointed
Senate seats. SADC observers monitored the election and the ballot casting and
had no major complaints.
The results at every polling
station were exhibited as a printed and attested sheet outside each polling
place. The Zimbabwean entrepreneur,
Strive Masiyiwa – the founder of the mobile
phone network Econet, had given hundreds of mobile phones to his friends in the
MDC. As soon as the results were officially prepared and posted outside the
polling station the MDC ward captains called these results through to Harare.
Often they arrived in Harare before the official information was passed from
the voting stations to the ZEC, the electoral commission.
When the official confirmations were sent to the ZEC these
results were announced. There was no substantial disagreement or controversy
between the MDC and ZANU-PF or the ZEC on these. Indeed a re-audit of these
results proved no alterations needed to be made.
The tallying of the votes for the Presidential contest
was also made. The race was very close so the physical tally of the ballots had
to be made by the ZEC not just at the polling stations. This involved the
logistical nightmare of transporting the physical ballots from rural areas to
Harare; a lengthy process. On the second day of the count the political
leadership of both sides knew from the ward captains of both parties that the
unaudited count of the Presidential ballots showed Morgan Tsvangirai of the MDC
with around 48% of the vote and Mugabe 43%. There was no mystery about this. I
published these exact figures three days after the election. It was clear that
there would need to be a runoff election.
That is when the problem emerged.
The MDC leadership embarked on a campaign of
manipulation through issuing false and misleading statements which were
delivered by the MDC secretary-general Tendai Biti. His wild claims of a 60%
sweep of the election were entirely figures made up for the occasion. Even most
of the others in the MDC did not believe them. His tales of ballot-rigging and
violence against voters had no basis in fact. Biti attempted to create an
image, primarily designed for the international audience, that somehow the
ZANU-PF were rigging the election and that the MDC was their innocent victim.
The reason for this, other
than the fact that his outside sponsors in Britain and South Africa suggested
taking this line, was because the MDC was not sure that they would not
automatically win the runoff. The newly-elected MDC Assemblymen and Senators
wanted to take their seats in the new government. They realised that the
country, while supporting change, especially the business community, did not
support the current leadership of the MDC. The business community did not
relish the thought of putting the labour movement in power, especially a labour
movement dependent for funds, support and guidance of COSATU in South Africa.
They reckoned that if Mugabe indicated that he would only stay for a while
after the election before retiring to let someone like Sidney Sekeremayi
(former security chief) take over, the Zimbabwe people would be happy to escape
the violence and confrontation of a root and branch change in the country by
waiting to see how the new Assembly and Senate would operate and if could get
international support in fixing the economy.
Tsvangirai and Biti
announced, to the horror of the security chiefs in the Army and the Police,
that the MDC would give back the farms which had been taken from their owners
by ZANU-PF. Irrespective of the merits and morality of such an action a
precipitate dislodging of the current occupiers would present the authorities
with a security nightmare they knew they couldn’t control.. It was a recipe for
conflict which no one could control. The security forces were alarmed. Even
worse, when the issue of a transition to a possible new MDC government arose at
the meeting in Lusaka, the MDC leadership told the African presidents that
there were British Special Forces standing by at a ‘secret airbase’ in Botswana
run by the Americans who would come in, arrest the Zimbabwe security chiefs,
and take over internal security until order was re-established.
Both the British and the US
adamantly denied that they had any intention of sending troops to Zimbabwe or
physically intervening in any way. Yes there is a base the US is using in
Botswana. Yes the British Special Forces were (are) at the base doing training
ever since their normal training base in Kenya had become less secure. However,
the US does not want to jeopardise its opportunities in Africa to set up
AFRICOM centres which will allow them to fight terrorists and the drug trade.
The British, too, have little desire to extend their military reach in
attacking Zimbabwe without regional agreement in advance. This is why the tale
told by the MDC was so pernicious.
Even when the vote tally was
finally made, and the 48% and 43% votes confirmed, the MDC leadership still
refuses to participate in a runoff. However, in the interim its campaign of
lies, smears and character assassinations aimed at seeking international
support has alienated its own supporters in the country and unleashed a
crescendo of violence which everyone was desperately seeking to avoid.
Biti continues to violate the
Constitution by asserting that the results of the election show, on his say-so
alone, that the MDC has won the first round of the election with a clear
majority. It isn’t true and every observer affirms that this is not true. The
tragedy is that the ‘international community’ buys this fiction because it is
convenient to them. A Presidential election result is not made by a failed
Trotskyite turned democrat deciding what the vote should be. Fair elections
result from the observed and monitored counting of the ballots. Until that
happens and is accepted, the newly-elected MDC Assemblymen and Senators will
have to wait, the country will remain in suspension and the violence will
likely continue. What a pity!