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Research Last Updated: Oct 6, 2008 - 5:45:59 AM


The Northern Nigeria Economic and Investment Summit 2008
By Abubakar Atiku Nuhu-Koko, Speech 5/10/08
Oct 6, 2008 - 5:44:35 AM

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In the past couple of months this year, the North (also known as Arewa) or simply the northern geographical region of Nigeria comprising 19 States of the federation has been the focus of national attention regarding its relative underdevelopment and having very high rate or the highest rate of incidence of poverty across all strata of its population compared to the rest of the country.

In addition, it has been branded by some ill-informed and divisive Nigerians as lazy and parasitic on the oil wealth derived from Nigeria’s Niger delta region. For instance, very recently a number of public officials, especially ministers responsible for finance, national planning and economic management of the country have spoken about some of these disturbing developments. For example, recently, on more than one public outing, the Governor of Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Dr. Chukwuma Soludo attested to the abject poverty ravaging the entire social fabric in the north.

Dr. Soludo even went to the extent of suggesting to the federal government to declare a national emergency on tackling abject poverty and Almajiri (Begging) phenomena in the north in the same vain as tackling the vexed environmental despoliation and modern development deficits in the troubled Niger delta oil and gas rich region of the country.

Dr. Soludo’s analysis of poverty in the north drew a very large number of public reactions in the mass media from some concerned elements from the north. Some of the reactions can be said to be well thought, emotional and challenging. And, equally, some of them can be said to be contentious and more often than not, ill-informed, ridiculous and without logical grounds. For example, as I would elaborate on this issue below, the Chairman of the Northern Governors Forum (NGF), Chief Servant Governor Muazu Babangida Aliyu (Niger State Governor) is one of those who responded to this challenge, amongst others.

Chief Servant Governor Aliyu went to the extent of issuing a rebuttal and posited that the north can survive without relaying on revenues by relaying on its agricultural production and solid mineral resources. The NGF went ahead and organized a Summit on Agriculture to underscore the seriousness of the stand of the forum.

There is also renewed interest in revitalizing the New Nigerian Development Company (NNDC) – the only surviving common heritage of the defunct northern Nigerian regional government. The NNDC is planning to go into the business of frontier oil and gas exploration and production in the north.

The Northern Nigeria Economic and Investment Summit 2008 (NEIS-2008) scheduled to take place on Monday October 6, at Abuja Sheraton Hotel and Towers under the umbrella of the Conference of the Northern States Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines and Agriculture (CONSCCIMA) is another initiative to further underscore the seriousness of the north and to send a clear message to its traducers.

Several reasons have been adduced as to why the States in the north are lagging behind all the other States of the federation in terms of all indices of physical, socio-economic and political development. Some of the reasons propounded are true and some are outright false, laughable, outlandish and disingenuously ridiculous to say the least. For example, some public affairs commentators have blamed the underdevelopment and very high incidence of poverty in the north to its feudal and colonial histories, religion and culture.

Whereas, some other commentators have audaciously blamed the prevailing predicaments in the north to the actions and inactions of some retired generals of the Nigerian armed forces of northern extraction while they were at the helms of affairs of the nation. Northern elites as found in the business and political class and bureaucratic and technocratic levels (at the federal, states and local governments’ levels) also share similar blame.

There is no doubt whatsoever, that, some of these factors have contributed to a large extent to the seeming backwardness in physical and other socio-economic developments in the north relative to the rest of the country. However, there are overwhelming empirical evidences, which show that the causes of poverty in the north are not different from the causes of poverty elsewhere in the rest of the country.

The major fundamental differences are at the levels of severity and magnitude of the incidence of poverty among the Nigerian populace. The level of access to western education and modern employment opportunities are also critical factors of consideration. For example, poverty is more acute in the north compared to the south; there is more human misery and squalor in the north evidenced by the large number of Almajiri (Beggars) cutting across all age brackets and gender.

The north has the least percentage of educational enrolment and success rate in national examinations in the country because of the neglect of education by the sub-national governments.

Nevertheless, there exist a large body of empirical literature that attribute the paradoxical extreme level of poverty, impoverishment and lack of basic physical and socio-economic development especially in many developing and transition countries to the abundance of natural resources (oil, gas, timber, diamond, coal, etc) in some of these countries.

That is to say, natural resource abundance is a ‘curse’ in some of these countries rather than a ‘blessing’ – a sort of Paradox of Plenty (Karl, 1997). A type of situation keeping millions of people impoverished despite the wealth of their countries (Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, 2006).

In addition, the north has over the years been lampooned, demeaned and characterized by all manners of people from across the river Niger, as lazy bunch of people that are forever parasitic on the nation’s natural endowment of petroleum resources (i.e. oil and gas) that occur in the nation’s Niger Delta region.

This charge is outlandish, false and politically motivated to in order generate geo-political discontents within the polity. For instance, soon as one of the so-called militants’ gang leaders recently publicly pronounced that the people of northern extraction are lazy parasites and that the entire region is parasitic on the oil and gas revenues derived from the Niger delta region, a flood of counter offensive pronouncements denouncing the charges was unleashed.

For example, both the Northern Governors Forum (NGF) currently chaired by the Niger State Governor, Dr. Muazu Babangida Aliyu (Talban Minna) and the Arewa Consultative Forum (ACF) chaired by General I.B.M. Haruna (retired) did not waste any time in condemning these charges as false, mischievous and calculated attempts to misrepresent and distort the enormous contributions of the abundant natural and human resources found in the north to the overall gross domestic product (GDP) of Nigeria in the past and at present.

Similar condemnations and rebuttals were also registered in the media by a number of concerned individuals, civil society organizations and some privately-owned northern media houses.

Furthermore, one of the fallouts of this discourse was the immediate hosting of a Northern Summit on Agriculture held not long ago in Kaduna, Kaduna State. The Summit was facilitated by the NGF and ACF in collaboration with a private agricultural consultancy outfit.

Another similar but this time around more comprehensive event - the Northern Nigeria Economic and Investment Summit 2008 (NEIS-2008) has been scheduled to take place on Monday October 6, at Abuja Sheraton Hotel and Towers under the umbrella of the Conference of the Northern States Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines and Agriculture (CONSCCIMA).

The summit is to be co-chaired by former head of state, General Yakubu Gowon and former president, Alhaji Shehu Shagari. The chief host is the Sultan of Sokoto, Alhaji Muhammadu Sa’ad Abubakar III. The keynote addresses are to be delivered by former Pakistani Prime Minister, Right Honourable Shaukat Aziz and Professor Ibrahim A Gambari, the United Nations Under-Secretary for Political Affairs and Chief UN Negotiator on Myanmar (formerly Burma).

This write up is not aimed at joining issues with either those who made the accusations against the north or those who try to defend the north against these false accusations. Rather, this write-up is a contribution to the ongoing public discourse on the subject of petroleum resources revenues derived from the export of the Nigerian petroleum resources; with origin largely from the Niger delta geo-political region vis-à-vis the charge that the north is parasitic on the rest of the country (Niger delta region in particular).

Also that, the abject level of poverty in the north was/is due largely to the laziness of its peoples. Hence, this write-up is an attempt to throw light and to put into proper context the true position of the contentious issues at stake – i.e., Nigerians of northern heritage are parasites on oil and gas resources from the south and that the high level of incidence of abject poverty in the north was caused primarily by the laziness of the Nigerians of northern heritage.

I begin by stating that it is not only in the north, but the high level of incidence of poverty found all over Nigeria was and is caused by the discovery, production and export of Nigeria’s oil and gas natural resources. Also, that, Nigerians of northern heritage are not the only lazy ‘parasites’ on oil and gas natural resources found in Nigeria’s Niger delta region.
All Nigerians irrespective of their geo-political extraction are dependent on the God’s given hydrocarbon resources located in Nigeria’s Niger delta region and its offshore maritime limits.

The discovery of hydrocarbon resources of oil and gas in Nigeria in the late 1950s and the export of these energy resources from that period to date are largely responsible for the past and present predicaments facing the country.

That is to say, oil and gas discovery and the mismanagement of the huge export revenue inflows from these resources destroyed Nigeria’s agricultural mainstay and economic backbone.

Hence, the discovery of oil and gas in Nigeria’s Niger delta region and the mismanagement of the huge export revenue inflows from these resources created a wide gap in income distribution; horizontally and vertically in the country. As a consequence, more than 60% of Nigerians hardly survive on less than US$2 a day.

All basic social, economic and human development indices are on unsatisfactory scale compared to other developing countries especially those not blessed by God with abundant natural and human resources like Nigeria.

Having made these points, I would like to draw on the body of empirical literature to support my stand on these vexed issues. The very familiar and much talked and written about “Dutch Disease” and “Resource Curse”/“Paradox of Plenty” offer conventional economic and political explanations and throw sufficient light on the past and present development predicaments of Nigeria despite its wealth coming from its abundant natural and human resources.

These concepts would be elaborated and applied below in explaining and buttressing the points I made above. I am therefore not breaking any new grounds academically, but applying and restating the truth; separating emotions, geo-ethnic sentiments and petty geo-politics from the known facts and realities.

Thus, this piece is about proper contextualization of the vexatious issues raised by the ill-conceived perceptions and the misplaced responses to the issues from both sides of the aisle in involved in this national discourse.

Geo-Political Distribution of Natural Resources in Nigeria

Before the discovery of oil and gas (petroleum resources) in Nigeria’s Niger delta region in 1956, Nigeria enjoyed the luxury, again, of God blessing it with vast agricultural and solid mineral resources endowments distributed differentially in all its geo-political regions (now States and Local Governments) of the federation. For example, substantial deposits of a variety of minerals are commonly found as follows:

¬ Coal deposits mostly around the South-eastern part
¬ Limestone, tin ore, gold, granite in the North
¬ Cassiterite, columbite, gold in the south west

Also in terms of agriculture for example, Nigeria was the world's largest cocoa exporter in 1960. The following statistical snapshots tell the history (Note: statistics/data used in this section obtained from the Hon Finance Minister, Shansuddeen Usman, 2007, Public lecture at the Imperial College, London, UK):

• In the 1960s, the Nigerian economy was driven largely by the non-oil sector, especially agriculture:

1. Agriculture contributed 70 per cent of non oil GDP.
2. Employed about 65 per cent of the total labour force
3. The country enjoyed moderate standard of living; food self-sufficiency and was a net exporter of agricultural commodities.

However, since early 1970s, precisely as from 1974, with the first major oil boom arising from the old-aged Arab-Israeli conflicts in the Middle-East, the macro economic picture began to change from agriculture driven spatial economy to petroleum driven “enclave” economy. For example, according to official Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the World Bank’s statistics, annual production of both cash and food crops dropped significantly in the latter decades of 20th century, cocoa production dropped by 43%, rubber dropped by 29%, cotton by 65%, and groundnuts by 64%.
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• Oil boom in 1970s and 80s changed the scenario to look as follows:

1. Agriculture’s contribution to GDP went down drastically:
¬ 1970s 48 per cent
¬ 1980s 20.6 per cent
¬ Last 5 years (i.e. 2003-2007) 5.6 per cent.

• Other features of the oil boom periods:
1. High exchange rate, which reduced agricultural competitiveness
2. Prolonged economic stagnation;
3. Rising unemployment and poverty and decay in infrastructure;
4. Widespread corruption-especially deleterious effect on public sector management;
5. Protectionist policies for affected lagging agricultural and industrial sectors and
6. Nigerian economy became more reliant on oil earnings, for example, from 1992 to 2002:

¬ Average GDP growth rate 2.25 per cent
¬ Average population growth rate of 2.83 per cent
¬ Deteriorating standard of living – poverty level up to 70 percent
¬ Average inflation rate 28.5 per cent.

Thus, what can be seen is that, in the decades prior to the 1990s, Nigeria developed an oil monoculture economy, in which 95 percent of foreign exchange and more than three-fourths of government revenues were derived from crude oil exports. Conversely, export agriculture atrophied in the 1970s, while manufacturing and value-added services stagnated, yielding a political economy overwhelmingly concentrated on the distribution of oil rents from the central government.

Although the above scenario has been replicated in a number of oil rich and exporting developing countries throughout the world and thus not limited to Nigeria alone, there are also other countries with similar natural resource endowments that followed a different and almost directly opposite developmental trajectory. For example, oil rich Indonesia and Malaysia, and diamond-rich Botswana and copper-rich Chile are comparable examples with Nigeria (Norway is an exceptionally different example as it had attained all the necessary conditions of economic, social and political development by the time it made its oil and gas discoveries) but with different developmental outcomes far superior to that witness by Nigeria.

So if abundance of natural resources endowments equates to prosperity and greatness as witness in Norway, Canada, United Kingdom, Botswana, Chile, Indonesia, Malaysia, Russia, United States of America etc why not for Nigeria? How come abundance of petroleum resources in Nigeria becomes a curse for its peoples, its economic growth and prosperity and its political development?

This is the fundamental question and issue that need to be addressed in our search for sustainable economic growth and prosperity and pursuit of political stability and peaceful coexistence as a nation.

Thus, the narrow-minded branding of fellow Nigerians as lazy and parasitic is just one of the political games use by the Nigerian political elites. They use their misinformed and misguided political thugs to continue to drag the country into the abyss of continued underdevelopment. They do this in order to continue to perpetuate their mismanagement of the nation’s resources for their personal ends using the instrumentalities of the existing dysfunctional democratic and institutional arrangements.

Hence, it is in this type of situation that Nigeria’s enormous wealth in terms of natural and human resources endowments becomes a ‘curse’ rather than a ‘blessing’; thereby missing the golden opportunities to grow and be counted among the world’s developed economies and societies. According to Paul Collier (2007), resource curse and trap “… closes off the path that most societies have taken to building a balanced form of democracy, namely, through economic development.”

The next pertinent issue is how to cure the Dutch disease and break the resource curse syndromes. Again, in Nigeria we are following and or pursuing the wrong paths that lead us to dead-end. For instance, the ruling elites and economic managers are being externally tele-guided by the ‘Washington Consensus’ ideological paradigm and internally bedevilled with and by rent-seeking political, bureaucratic and technocratic order and institutional arrangements.
Responses to the illogical challenges

Thus far, the responses to the challenges thrown at the north by other fellow Nigerians from the southern geo-political divide are not that inspiring and illuminating to say the least. I can understand the underlying undertones; emotions and sentiments that follow their reasoning as contained in their respective responses to the challenges.

However, as mentioned above, both sides of the aisle in this ongoing national discourse on the following subjects: oil revenues, northern parasitism and poverty and national cohesion are playing only to the public gallery for political gains. For instance, the responses from both the Northern Governors Forum (NGF) and the Arewa Consultative Forum (ACF) respectively, that the north can survive without relaying on oil revenues accruing to the federation account and from which they receive their respective shares to run the affairs of their respective domains is misleading.

It is based on misinformed and misunderstanding of the dynamics of the present Nigerian spatial economic structure, the dynamics of oil discovery vis-à-vis the wider productive economic sectors and its political economy.

First of all, I agree with the position that the north is not lazy and parasitic on the natural resources located in the southern part of the federation. The abundant land and fresh water-based agricultural resources and solid minerals in the north, together with those agricultural and mineral resources in the south are still the mainstay of the Nigerian populace and their subsistence economies.

Moreover, the revenues accruing from the export of Nigeria’s petroleum resources are consumed by less than 30% of the populace. That is to say, more than 100 million Nigerians do not appreciably benefit the proceeds of Nigeria’s petroleum revenues.

Ironically however, over 100 millions Nigerians whose sources of income are from agricultural production and small and medium enterprises have been negatively affected by the debilitating Dutch disease and Resource curse effects of petroleum resources discovery, production and export.

Furthermore, another point that needs consideration is that, should there be any appreciable decline in the level of subsistence food production in Nigeria due to the vagaries of weather and climate or other causal factors (human and or natural), Nigeria’s net oil revenues inflow and foreign reserves will not be enough to guarantee it more than six months at best, of sustained food import bills to bridge the gap.

This is because of the volatile nature of oil revenue inflows, crude oil demand and supply fluctuations and its depleting nature. Therefore, oil revenues are not permanent national income and or solution to Nigeria’s development needs. They can dry up as had happened in other climes and Nigeria will not be an exception.

Secondly, I disagree with the proposition put by the NGF, ACF and others, that, the sub- national governments (States and Local Governments) in the north can go it alone in reviving and revitalizing the long neglected agricultural production sector without input of the central government.

The reasons are not farfetched. As stated above, the Dutch disease seriously effected on the Nigerian economy; particularly on its agricultural sector of which the north plays a very high significant role and contributes substantially to both the subsistence and export components of the agricultural sector. For instance, the Dutch disease is transmitted via foreign exchange inflows from exporting crude oil in the international crude oil markets.

As a result of this, a country’s local currency appreciates in value relative to or against other foreign currencies. Hence, the country loses its comparative and competitive advantages of its other non-oil exports. In the case of Nigeria, the agricultural export sector lost out to the new found oil export sector.

The debilitating consequences of this twist are what Nigeria has been grappling with in the past fifty years or so. For example, since early 1970s, the increasing role of oil revenue inflows into the Nigerian economy made the main export commodities produced by the farmers in the north such as cotton, groundnuts, hides and skins etc to collapse completely.

The same thing happened to the non-oil export commodities such as cocoa, palm oil etc produced in the south by the farmers. It only the central government that can make and implement appropriate macroeconomic policies that can change the existing situation as it were.

Therefore, in Nigeria it is the responsibility of the federal government and the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) (and not the sub-national governments) to fashion out an economic policy and development framework to that addresses and solves the debilitating Dutch disease and the Resource curse syndromes respectively.

Unfortunately however, for over forty years, the federal government and the CBN have woefully failed to get the policies rights compared to Indonesia and Malaysia, for example. There is a large body of existing empirical literature that documents this failure by Nigeria.

Thus, .the negative impact of this shift created serious conditions of unemployment, poverty and an army of Almajiri in the north; that are commonly found roaming the streets of all major Nigerian towns and cities begging for food and money to survive. Furthermore, oil exploration and production are very high capital intensive and highly technically skilled activities.

Hence, oil exploration and production create an ‘enclave’ type of economy; with almost no job openings for the largely unskilled agricultural labor force that were displaced by the impact of the booming oil tradable sector.

Therefore, the north being educationally and technologically disadvantaged or left behind by the rest of the country for historical reasons, did not benefit appreciably from the few job openings created by the oil and gas companies at all levels of operations and management cadre. This further explains the worsening poverty level in the north vis-à-vis the rest of the country.

Thirdly, the provocative and divisive issue of parasitism of the north on Nigeria’s oil wealth derived from the Niger delta region is a disinformation and propaganda ploy designed principally to further advance the equally controversial agendas of resource control, ‘true’ federalism, and restructuring of the country.
All over the world, nature did not distribute natural resources equally across the geological substrata. Nature has provided for every nation (i.e. geographic space/entity) a unique pattern of distribution of human population, flora and fauna, weather and climate, geology, land (soil) and water etc.

To fully develop, a nation must wisely harness these resources for sustainable growth. And it is the ability of the people to use their God given ingenuity to harness these diverse resource endowments for their collective benefits. It is from these collective resources of humankind that nations and individuals derive their welfare accordingly. Therefore, it is utterly disingenuous to brand the north as parasitic on the south for its survival.

Those behind this rather crude, illogical and unintelligent proposition need to rethink another game plan in their quest for achieving whatever agenda they are pursuing. It is in light of this that I would not like to take too much space and time here dwelling on the issue.

Nevertheless, I would like to advice the Northern Nigeria Economic and Investment Summit 2008 (NEIS-2008), the Northern Governors Forum (NGF), the Arewa Consultative Forum (ACF) and the Northern Union (NU) and concerned individuals alike that they should not over-react to this worthless proposition thrown principally to incite and provoke the polity into mindless and time wasting confrontation.

The focus should be on how to escape the debilitating Dutch disease and resource curse syndromes ravaging the country as whole; the north in particular. That is to say, how do we move from the paradox stagnation and poverty traps in the midst of resource abundance to growth and prosperity wisely harnessing our God-given human and natural resources for the common good?

This can be done as other countries, like Nigeria, have successfully overcome similar predicaments. This should be challenge and task before the organizers and participants of NEIS-2008, NGF, ACF, NU, CBN, the Presidency, National Assembly, States and Local governments and above all, all Nigerians irrespective of geo-political and geo-ethnic configuration, coloration and extraction.

Therefore, escaping the Dutch disease and Resource curse syndromes requires dynamism of national cohesion, solidarity and mutual respect and collective will power and not divisiveness under any guise.

Where and how do we start? Good governance - translated to include good implementable economic policies, honesty, transparency and accountability is the key and roadmap to successful overcoming or escaping the debilitating impacts of Duct disease and Resource curse syndromes.

The good news is that we don’t have to reinvent the wheel all over again. There are practical steps to take and smooth pathways to follow in order to escape from the tyranny of the Dutch disease and Resource curse syndromes.

Nigeria must liberate its Central Bank and Finance Ministry from the shackles of the powerful ‘Washington Consensus’ bosses at the World Bank (WB) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Without doing that there will be no light at the end of the tunnel.

The world acclaimed renowned learned economists and titans of the field such as Nobel laureate Professor Joseph Stiglitz, Paul Collier and Jeffrey Sachs, just to mention but a few, for example, have said it all in their earth breaking compelling testimonies as presented in their landmark publications on these issues.

For instance, their principled anti-Washington Consensus posturing should be eye-openers to our public policymakers (economists and political economists), practitioners and politicians.

Nevertheless, some of the ideas espouse by the Washington Consensus practitioners are great. But ironically, in most cases, they usually become very unpopular because they are not pro-poor oriented policies.

The organizers of NEIS-2008, NGF, ACF, NU and concerned individuals in the north should get organized and team up with other concerned stakeholder groups (including the National and States Assemblies) and individuals from the rest of the country to ensure that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the Finance Ministry are liberated from the shackles of the Washington Consensus.

The world at large is witness to how for example; Professor Stiglitz successfully demystified the entire Washington financial and economic establishment through his most powerful principled arguments that have yet been made against the World Bank and IMF and their policies in developing and transition economies.

That is to say, Professor Stiglitz rebelled against the very global establishments that once fed him – according to Ian Fraser of the British Sunday Tribune Newspaper. There are a lot to be learnt regarding these issues from world respected economists such as Stiglitz, Collier and Sachs, amongst other anti-Washington Consensus; - ‘Born Again’ and converts!

Furthermore, the organizers of NEIS-2008, NGF, ACF and NU should borrow a leaf from President Umaru Musa Yar’Adua (UMYA). One of his strategies of addressing the lingering Niger delta conundrum includes establishing a Technical Committee to distil, harmonise and present all the previous recommendations made on how to address the problems of the Niger delta region over the years. The government will then use the comprehensive document to design an acceptable and implement-table roadmap or blueprint for the Niger delta region.

I would suggest similar initiative for the organizers of NEIS-2008, NGF, ACF and NU. For instance, in the immediate past 8 years or so, numerous Workshops, Retreats, Conferences and Summits were convened/organized to address issues, problems, options and solutions to the socio-economic and political problems facing the north that have defied solutions since the demise of the legendary late Ahmadu Bello (Sarduanan Sokoto), late Abubakar Tafawa Balewa and their other fellow contemporaries from all over the north.

It is only logical to compile and harmonize the outcomes of these talk shops. Also, least we forgot, just about the current democratic dispensation was about to be ushered some time in 1998/1999, the defunct Turaki Committee; the precursor to the ACF and NU, produced and printed a guidepost or roadmap for the transformation of the north.

That handbook was produced in large numbers for distribution to all those in position to make a change for the better in the lives of the ordinary persons in the streets of the north. Unfortunately however, those elected into various political offices and leadership positions in the period 1999-2007 never used it. If they did, the north today will be discussing something different and not the same familiar lamentations we are used to hearing over and over again!

I also agree with my elder brother, Mohammed Haruna, the veteran journalist who, a couple of days ago, commenting in his regular column in both the Daily Trust Newspapers and Gamji.com Website, that talking is important but there comes a time when we should talk less and act more.

In his own words “By all means, let’s organise seminars on how to end poverty in the region - and by extension in Nigeria as a whole - but we must accept the obvious fact that words alone can never solve our problems” - Mohammed Haruna (01-10-2008).

The north should be seen to be methodically organized for the common good as it used to be before it was Balkanized into 19 individual States. It must revives itself and at the same time work hand-in-hand with the rest of the country to restore the lost glories before the discovery of the ‘devil’s excrement’ – oil.

Finally, I would seek for shelter under the cover of Jeffrey Sachs’s conclusion of one of his numerous compelling and forceful articles to also conclude this rather lengthy and boring write-up:

“Oil revenues need not be a curse. When properly managed, they can play a special and important role in overall economic development in low income countries, especially by providing the public financing for critical investments in key public goods. As long as this is done, the fears about Dutch Disease are likely to be exaggerated... For the poorest of the poor, priorities will lie in meeting basic needs and basic infrastructure… expanding access to higher education, science, and advanced technologies. In all these cases, there will be a likely advantage in using the oil earnings as an income to cover priority public spending, rather than viewing the oil earnings as an income flow to be transferred back to households… considerable care must be given to managing the large macroeconomic risks of oil income flows, as well as to spread the benefits of the oil earnings across generations. This is best achieved by converting oil flows into long-lasting financial, physical, and human capital” (Jeffrey D. Sachs, 2007, pp 173-193. “How To Handle the Macroeconomics of Oil Wealth”, Chapter 7, in Escaping the Resource Curse. Humphreys, M., Jeffrey D. Sachs and Joseph E. Stiglitz, editors).
I pray that the message contained in this concluding part of the write-up will sink in the hearts and minds of the organizers and participants of NEIS-2008, NGF, ACF, NU, CBN, the Presidency, National Assembly, States and Local governments and above all, all Nigerians irrespective of geo-political and geo-ethnic configuration, coloration and extraction.

Therefore, I repeat what I mentioned above that, the challenge of escaping the Dutch Disease and Resource Curse syndromes requires dynamism of national cohesion, solidarity and mutual respect and collective will power and not divisiveness under any guise.

The north must face the challenges before it in a manner that enhances and solidifies our cherished national unity and solidarity and avoid joining unnecessary provocative and time wasting distractions from any quarter.

I wish the organizers and participants very successful and fruitful deliberations in this worthy and timely initiative.
 

Sunday, 05 October 2008

PS: Full details of the references cited in this write-up have not been attached at the end.

Source:Ocnus.net 2008

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